The Conference Board Employment Trends Index (ETI) increased for the fourth consecutive month. The index now stands at 90.8, up 1.8 percent from the revised October figure. The index is down 9.4 percent from a year ago.

“The very small number of job losses in November was to be expected given the increase in the Employment Trends Index in recent months, and this month’s large increase in the ETI suggests that job gains are imminent,” said Gad Levanon, Associate Director, Macroeconomic Research at The Conference Board. “However, the pace of hiring is likely to remain subdued because the economic recovery is expected to be weak throughout the first half of 2010.”

This month’s increase in the Employment Trends Index was driven by positive contributions from five out of the eight components. The improving indicators were Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance, Number of Temporary Employees, Job Openings, Industrial Production and Real Manufacturing and Trade Sales.

The Employment Trends Index aggregates eight labor-market indicators, each of which has proven accurate in its own area. Aggregating individual indicators into a composite index filters out so-called “noise” to show underlying trends more clearly.
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